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dc.contributor.authorFeely, Richard A.
dc.contributor.authorDoney, Scott C.
dc.contributor.authorCooley, Sarah R.
dc.date.accessioned2010-02-25T19:10:09Z
dc.date.available2010-02-25T19:10:09Z
dc.date.issued2009-12
dc.identifier.citationOceanography 22 no. 4 (2009): 36-47en_US
dc.identifier.urihttp://hdl.handle.net/1912/3180
dc.descriptionAuthor Posting. © Oceanography Society, 2009. This article is posted here by permission of Oceanography Society for personal use, not for redistribution. The definitive version was published in Oceanography 22 no. 4 (2009): 36-47.en_US
dc.description.abstractThe uptake of anthropogenic CO2 by the global ocean induces fundamental changes in seawater chemistry that could have dramatic impacts on biological ecosystems in the upper ocean. Estimates based on the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) business-as-usual emission scenarios suggest that atmospheric CO2 levels could approach 800 ppm near the end of the century. Corresponding biogeochemical models for the ocean indicate that surface water pH will drop from a pre-industrial value of about 8.2 to about 7.8 in the IPCC A2 scenario by the end of this century, increasing the ocean’s acidity by about 150% relative to the beginning of the industrial era. In contemporary ocean water, elevated CO2 will also cause substantial reductions in surface water carbonate ion concentrations, in terms of either absolute changes or fractional changes relative to pre-industrial levels. For most open-ocean surface waters, aragonite undersaturation occurs when carbonate ion concentrations drop below approximately 66 μmol kg-1. The model projections indicate that aragonite undersaturation will start to occur by about 2020 in the Arctic Ocean and 2050 in the Southern Ocean. By 2050, all of the Arctic will be undersaturated with respect to aragonite, and by 2095, all of the Southern Ocean and parts of the North Pacific will be undersaturated. For calcite, undersaturation occurs when carbonate ion concentration drops below 42 μmol kg-1. By 2095, most of the Arctic and some parts of the Bering and Chukchi seas will be undersaturated with respect to calcite. However, in most of the other ocean basins, the surface waters will still be saturated with respect to calcite, but at a level greatly reduced from the present.en_US
dc.description.sponsorshipS. Cooley and S. Doney acknowledge support from NSF ATM-0628582. Richard A. Feely was supported by the NOAA Climate Program under the Office of Climate Observations (Grant No. GC04-314 and the Global Carbon Cycle Program (Grant No. GC05-288).en_US
dc.format.mimetypeapplication/pdf
dc.language.isoen_USen_US
dc.publisherOceanography Societyen_US
dc.relation.urihttps://doi.org/10.5670/oceanog.2009.95
dc.titleOcean acidification : present conditions and future changes in a high-CO2 worlden_US
dc.typeArticleen_US
dc.identifier.doi10.5670/oceanog.2009.95


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