Physical Oceanography (PO)
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Department members investigate the dynamics and thermodynamics of ocean circulation. They work globally from the Arctic to the Antarctic and from the Strait of Gibraltar to the Philippine shelf on the full range of oceanic processes, from mixing on centimeter scales to heat balance on the global scale.
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ArticlePermafrost thaw subsidence, sea-level rise, and erosion are transforming Alaska's Arctic coastal zone.(National Academy of Sciences, 2024-12-10)Arctic shorelines are vulnerable to climate change impacts as sea level rises, permafrost thaws, storms intensify, and sea ice thins. Seventy-five years of aerial and satellite observations have established coastal erosion as an increasing Arctic hazard. However, other hazards at play—for instance, the cumulative impact that sea-level rise and permafrost thaw subsidence will have on permafrost shorelines—have received less attention, preventing assessments of these processes’ impacts compared to and combined with coastal erosion. Alaska’s Arctic Coastal Plain (ACP) is ideal for such assessments because of the high-density observations of topography, coastal retreat rates, and permafrost characteristics, and importance to Indigenous communities and oilfield infrastructure. Here, we produce 21st-century projections of Arctic shoreline position that include erosion, permafrost subsidence, and sea-level rise. Focusing on the ACP, we merge 5 m topography, satellite-derived coastal lake depth estimates, and empirical assessments of land subsidence due to permafrost thaw with projections of coastal erosion and sea-level rise for medium and high emissions scenarios from the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change’s AR6 Report. We find that by 2100, erosion and inundation will together transform the ACP, leading to 6-8x more land loss than coastal erosion alone and disturbing 8-11x more organic carbon. Without mitigating measures, by 2100, coastal change could damage 40 to 65% of infrastructure in present-day ACP coastal villages and 10 to 20% of oilfield infrastructure. Our findings highlight the risks that compounding climate hazards pose to coastal communities and underscore the need for adaptive planning for Arctic coastlines in the 21st century.
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ArticleWhy is the monsoon coastal upwelling signal subdued in the Bay of Bengal?(American Geophysical Union, 2024-12-10)The Indian summer monsoon, which brings heavy precipitation to the densely populated Indian subcontinent, plays an important role in the development of a coastal upwelling circulation that brings colder, nutrient-rich water to the surface. Although the western shores of the Arabian Sea (AS) and Bay of Bengal (BoB) both experience upwelling-favorable winds during June-August, only the AS coastline exhibits significant surface cooling. In contrast, the BoB remains warm and its upwelling is characterized by a transient, weak sea surface temperature (SST) response confined to the east coast of India. A weaker mean alongshore wind stress and coastal circulation do not sufficiently explain the lack of SST response in the BoB. Here, we examine other reasons for the differing behavior of these two coastal margins. Firstly, we show that while winds are persistently upwelling-favorable in the western AS, intraseasonal wind variability in the BoB induces intermittent upwelling. Secondly, the vertical density stratification is controlled by salinity in the BoB, and upwelled waters are saltier, but only marginally cooler than surface waters. By contrast, the density in the AS is temperature-controlled, and upwelled waters are substantially colder than the surface. Additionally, satellite-based SST in the BoB does not adequately resolve the upwelling signal. Using a numerical model, we find that salinity stratification has a greater influence on the mean SST, while wind frequency alters near-shore SST and its temporal variability. This work has implications for the sensitivity of upwelling regions and their response to wind stress and stratification in a warming climate.
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ArticleSeasonal variability in Baffin Bay(American Geophysical Union, 2024-10-21)Three dominant characteristics and underlying dynamics of the seasonal cycle in Baffin Bay are discussed. The study is based on a regional, high-resolution coupled sea ice-ocean numerical model that complements our understanding drawn from observations. Subject to forcing from the atmosphere, sea ice, Greenland, and other ocean basins, the ocean circulation exhibits complex seasonal variations that influence Arctic freshwater storage and export. The basin-scale barotropic circulation is generally stronger (weaker) in summer (winter). The interior recirculation (∼2 Sv) is primarily driven by oscillating along-topography surface stress. The volume transport along the Baffin Island coast is also influenced by Arctic inflows (∼0.6 Sv) via Smith Sound and Lancaster Sound with maximum (minimum) in June-August (October-December). In addition to the barotropic variation, the Baffin Island Current also has changing vertical structure with the upper-ocean baroclinicity weakened in winter-spring. It is due to a cross-shelf circulation associated with spatially variable ice-ocean stresses that flattens isopycnals. Greenland runoff and sea ice processes dominate buoyancy forcing to Baffin Bay. Opposite to the runoff that freshens the west Greenland shelf, stronger salinification by ice formation compared to freshening by ice melt enables a net densification in the interior of Baffin Bay. Net sea ice formation in the past 30 years contributes to ∼25% of sea ice export via Davis Strait. The seasonal variability in baroclinicity and water mass transformation changes in recent decades based on the simulation.
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ArticlePerformance of moored real-time ocean observations during cyclones in the Bay of Bengal(Marine Technology Society, 2024-09-10)Cyclones tracking northward across the Bay of Bengal represent a significant threat to life and safety when they make landfall. Surface moorings of the Ocean Moored Network for the Northern Indian Ocean in the Bay of Bengal have been deployed to provide real-time observations in support of improved alerts and predictions of cyclones. Engineering goals are both to develop robust surface moorings that survive and to field meteorological and oceanographic instruments that reliably provide data in real time. While the mooring design and reliability were previously reported, the focus here is on the motivations for installing the instrumentation, and on experience gained during the passage of cyclone Amphan in May 2020, examining the sensor as well as mooring performance. The paper presents reasons for fielding the chosen sensors, merits, and shortcomings during the effort to observe Amphan, and recommendations for how to better address the challenges of providing real-time observations of cyclones in the Bay of Bengal.
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ArticleThe causal relation within air–sea interaction as inferred from observations(American Meteorological Society, 2024-10-08)The intricate cause–effect relations in air–sea interaction are investigated using a quantitative causal inference formalism. The formalism is first validated with a classical stochastic coupled model and then applied to the observational time series of sea surface temperature (SST) and air–sea turbulent surface heat flux (SHF). We identify an overall asymmetry of causality between the two variables, namely, the causality from SHF to SST is significantly larger than that from SST to SHF over most of the global oceans. Geographically, the coupling is strongest in the tropics and gets weaker substantially in the extratropics. In the midlatitude ocean, SST makes higher contributions to the SHF variability in frontal regions. We further show that the identified causality is space and time scale dependent. The dominance of SHF driving SST occurs at basin scales, whereas the dominance of SST driving SHF mostly occurs at scales smaller than 10°. The causalities in both directions get larger with increasing time scale and are less asymmetric at longer time scales. The seasonality of the causality is also discussed here.
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ArticleA one-dimensional model for investigating scale-separated approaches to the interaction of oceanic internal waves(American Meteorological Society, 2024-10-23)High-frequency wave propagation in near-inertial wave shear has, for four decades, been considered fundamental in setting the spectral character of the oceanic internal wave continuum and for transporting energy to wave breaking. We compare idealized ray-tracing numerical results with metrics derived using a wave turbulence derivation for the kinetic equation and a path integral to study this specific process. Statistical metrics include the time-dependent ensemble mean vertical wavenumber, referred to as a mean drift; dispersion about the mean drift; time-lagged correlation estimates of wavenumber; and phase locking of the wave packets with the background. The path integral permits us to identify the mean drift as a resonant process and dispersion about that mean drift as nonresonant. At small inertial wave amplitudes, ray tracing, wave turbulence, and the path integral provide consistent descriptions for the mean drift of wave packets in the spectral domain and dispersion about the mean drift. Extrapolating these results to the background internal wavefield overpredicts downscale energy transports by an order of magnitude. At oceanic amplitudes, however, the numerics support diminished transport and dispersion that coincide with the mean drift time scale becoming similar to the lagged correlation time scale. We parse this as the transition to a non-Markovian process. Despite this decrease, numerical estimates of downscale energy transfer are still too large. We argue that residual differences result from an unwarranted discard of Bragg scattering resonances. Our results support replacing the long-standing interpretive paradigm of extreme scale-separated interactions with a more nuanced slate of “local” interactions in the kinetic equation.
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ArticleVertical carbon export during a phytoplankton bloom in the Chukchi Sea: Physical setting and frontal subduction(American Geophysical Union, 2024-10-30)In order to quantify pelagic-benthic coupling on high-latitude shelves, it is imperative to identify the different physical mechanisms by which phytoplankton are exported to the sediments. In June–July 2023, a field program documented the evolution of an under-ice phytoplankton bloom on the northeast Chukchi shelf. Here, we use in situ data from the cruise, a simple numerical model, historical water column data, and ocean reanalysis fields to characterize the physical setting and describe the dynamically driven vertical export of chlorophyll associated with the bloom. A water mass front separating cold, high-nutrient winter water in the north and warmer summer waters to the south—roughly coincident with the ice edge—supported a baroclinic jet which is part of the Central Channel flow branch that veers eastward toward Barrow Canyon. A plume of high chlorophyll fluorescence extending from the near-surface bloom in the winter water downwards along the front was measured throughout the cruise. Using a passive tracer to represent phytoplankton in the model, it was demonstrated that the plume is the result of subduction due to baroclinic instability of the frontal jet. This process, in concert with the gravitational sinking, pumps the chlorophyll downwards an order of magnitude faster than gravitational sinking alone. Particle tracking using the ocean reanalysis fields reveals that a substantial portion of the chlorophyll away from the front is advected off of the northeast Chukchi shelf before reaching the bottom. This highlights the importance of the frontal subduction process for delivering carbon to the sea floor.
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ArticleIrreversible changes in the sea surface temperature threshold for tropical convection to CO2 forcing(Nature Research, 2024-11-05)Tropical convection plays a critical role in modulating the global climate by influencing climate variability. However, its future projection under climate mitigation scenarios remains uncertain. Here, we found that while the relationship between precipitation intensity and upward motion remains constant regardless of changing CO2 concentrations, the sea surface temperature threshold for tropical convection and the convective zone exhibit hysteretic and irreversible behavior. As the CO2 concentration decreases from its peak (ramp-down), higher tropical ocean temperature leads to higher sea surface temperature thresholds for convection than during the period of increasing CO2 concentration (ramp-up), while convective instability remains the same during both ramp-up and ramp-down. El Niño-like warming during the ramp-down leads to a weakening of the Walker circulation and an expansion of the convective zone in the central to eastern tropical Pacific by a warmer-get-wetter mechanism. Our results suggest that CO2 removal does not guarantee the recovery of tropical convection.
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ArticleExtreme wind events responsible for an outsized role in shelf-basin exchange around the southern tip of Greenland(American Association for the Advancement of Science, 2024-11-15)The coastal circulation around Southern Greenland transports fresh, buoyant water masses from the Arctic and Greenland Ice Sheet near regions of convection, sinking, and deep-water formation in the Irminger and Labrador Seas. Here, we track the pathways and fate of these fresh water masses by initializing synthetic particles in the East Greenland Coastal Current on the Southeast Greenland shelf and running them through altimetry-derived surface currents from 1993 to 2021. We report that the majority of waters (83%) remain on the shelf around the southern tip of Greenland. Variability in the shelf-basin exchange of the remaining particles closely follows the number of tip jet wind events on seasonal and interannual timescales. The probability of a particle exiting the shelf increases almost fivefold during a tip jet event. These results indicate that the number of tip jets is a close proxy of the shelf-basin exchange around Southern Greenland.
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ArticleThe rate of global sea level rise doubled during the past three decades(Nature Research, 2024-10-17)The rise in globally averaged sea level—or global mean sea level—is one of the most unambiguous indicators of climate change. Over the past three decades, satellites have provided continuous, accurate measurements of sea level on near-global scales. Here, we show that since satellites began observing sea surface heights in 1993 until the end of 2023, global mean sea level has risen by 111 mm. In addition, the rate of global mean sea level rise over those three decades has increased from ~2.1 mm/year in 1993 to ~4.5 mm/year in 2023. If this trajectory of sea level rise continues over the next three decades, sea levels will increase by an additional 169 mm globally, comparable to mid-range sea level projections from the IPCC AR6.
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ArticleOpen ocean convection drives enhanced eastern pathway of the Glacial Atlantic Meridional Overturning Circulation.(National Academy of Sciences, 2024-11-05)Abundant proxy records suggest a profound reorganization of the Atlantic Meridional Overturning Circulation (AMOC) during the Last Glacial Maximum (LGM, ~21,000 y ago), with the North Atlantic Deep Water (NADW) shoaling significantly relative to the present-day (PD) and forming Glacial North Atlantic Intermediate Water (GNAIW). However, almost all previous observational and modeling studies have focused on the zonal mean two-dimensional AMOC feature, while recent progress in the understanding of modern AMOC reveals a more complicated three-dimensional structure, with NADW penetrating from the subpolar North Atlantic to lower latitude through different pathways. Here, combining 231Pa/230Th reconstructions and model simulations, we uncover a significant change in the three-dimensional structure of the glacial AMOC. Specifically, the mid-latitude eastern pathway (EP), located east of the Mid-Atlantic Ridge and transporting about half of the PD NADW from the subpolar gyre to the subtropical gyre, experienced substantial intensification during the LGM. A greater portion of the GNAIW was transported in the eastern basin during the LGM compared to NADW at the PD, resulting in opposite 231Pa/230Th changes between eastern and western basins during the LGM. Furthermore, in contrast to the wind-steering mechanism of EP at PD, the intensified LGM EP was caused primarily by the rim current forced by the basin-scale open-ocean convection over the subpolar North Atlantic. Our results underscore the importance of accounting for three-dimensional oceanographic changes to achieve more accurate reconstructions of past AMOC.
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ArticleQuantifying the internal and external drivers of Southeast Asian rainfall extremes on decadal timescales(Springer, 2024-09-12)Rainfall over mainland Southeast Asia experiences variability on seasonal to decadal timescales in response to a multitude of climate phenomena. Historical records and paleoclimate archives that span the last millennium reveal extreme multi-year rainfall variations that significantly affected the societies of mainland Southeast Asia. Here we utilize the Community Earth System Model Last Millennium Ensemble (CESM-LME) to quantify the contributions of internal and external drivers to decadal-scale rainfall extremes in the Southeast Asia region. We find that internal variability was dominant in driving both Southeast Asian drought and pluvial extremes on decadal timescales although external forcing impacts are also detectable. Specifically, rainfall extremes are more sensitive to Pacific Ocean internal variability than the state of the Indian Ocean. This discrepancy is greater for droughts than pluvials which we suggest is attributable to external forcing impacts that counteract the forced Indian Ocean teleconnections to Southeast Asia. Volcanic aerosols, the most effective radiative forcing during the last millennium, contributed to both the Ming Dynasty Drought (1637–1643) and the Strange Parallels Drought (1756–1768). From the Medieval Climate Anomaly to the Little Ice Age, we observe a shift in Indo-Pacific teleconnection strength to Southeast Asia consistent with enhanced volcanism during the latter interval. This work not only highlights asymmetries in the drivers of rainfall extremes but also presents a framework for quantifying multivariate drivers of decadal-scale variability and hydroclimatic extremes.
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ArticleInternal-wave dissipation mechanisms and vertical structure in a high-resolution regional ocean model(American Geophysical Union, 2024-09-06)Motivated by the importance of mixing arising from dissipating internal waves (IWs), vertical profiles of internal-wave dissipation from a high-resolution regional ocean model are compared with finestructure estimates made from observations. A horizontal viscosity scheme restricted to only act on horizontally rotational modes (such as eddies) is introduced and tested. At lower resolutions with horizontal grid spacings of 2 km, the modeled IW dissipation from numerical model agrees reasonably well with observations in some cases when the restricted form of horizontal viscosity is used. This suggests the possibility that if restricted forms of horizontal viscosity are adopted by global models with similar resolutions, they could be used to diagnose and map IW dissipation distributions. At higher resolutions with horizontal grid spacings of ∼250 m, the dissipation from vertical shear and horizontal viscosity act much more strongly resulting in dissipation overestimates; however, the vertical-shear dissipation itself is found to agree well with observations.
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ArticleRole of the Labrador Current in the Atlantic Meridional Overturning Circulation response to greenhouse warming(American Geophysical Union, 2024-10-21)Three dominant characteristics and underlying dynamics of the seasonal cycle in Baffin Bay are discussed. The study is based on a regional, high-resolution coupled sea ice-ocean numerical model that complements our understanding drawn from observations. Subject to forcing from the atmosphere, sea ice, Greenland, and other ocean basins, the ocean circulation exhibits complex seasonal variations that influence Arctic freshwater storage and export. The basin-scale barotropic circulation is generally stronger (weaker) in summer (winter). The interior recirculation (∼2 Sv) is primarily driven by oscillating along-topography surface stress. The volume transport along the Baffin Island coast is also influenced by Arctic inflows (∼0.6 Sv) via Smith Sound and Lancaster Sound with maximum (minimum) in June-August (October-December). In addition to the barotropic variation, the Baffin Island Current also has changing vertical structure with the upper-ocean baroclinicity weakened in winter-spring. It is due to a cross-shelf circulation associated with spatially variable ice-ocean stresses that flattens isopycnals. Greenland runoff and sea ice processes dominate buoyancy forcing to Baffin Bay. Opposite to the runoff that freshens the west Greenland shelf, stronger salinification by ice formation compared to freshening by ice melt enables a net densification in the interior of Baffin Bay. Net sea ice formation in the past 30 years contributes to ∼25% of sea ice export via Davis Strait. The seasonal variability in baroclinicity and water mass transformation changes in recent decades based on the simulation.
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ArticleDetecting stochasticity in population time series using a non-parametric test of intrinsic predictability(Wiley, 2024-09-13)Many ecological systems dominated by stochastic dynamics can produce complex time series that inherently limit forecast accuracy. The ‘intrinsic predictability’ of these systems can be approximated by a time series complexity metric called weighted permutation entropy (WPE). While WPE is a useful metric to gauge forecast performance prior to model building, it is sensitive to noise and may be biased depending on the length of the time series. Here, we introduce a simple randomized permutation test (rWPE) to assess whether a time series is intrinsically more predictable than white noise. We apply rWPE to both simulated and empirical data to assess its performance and usefulness. To do this, we simulate population dynamics under various scenarios, including a linear trend, chaotic, periodic and equilibrium dynamics. We further test this approach with observed abundance time series for 932 species across four orders of animals from the Global Population Dynamics Database. Finally, using Adélie (Pygoscelis adeliae) and emperor penguin (Aptenodytes forsteri) time series as case studies, we demonstrate the application of rWPE to multiple populations for a single species. We show that rWPE can determine whether a system is significantly more predictable than white noise, even with time series as short as 10 years that show an apparent trend under biologically realistic stochasticity levels. Additionally, rWPE has statistical power close to 100% when time series are at least 30 time steps long and show chaotic or periodic dynamics. Power decreases to ~10% under equilibrium dynamics, irrespective of time series length. Among four classes of animal taxa, mammals have the highest relative frequency (28%) of time series that are both longer than 30 time steps and indistinguishable from white noise in terms of complexity, followed by insects (16%), birds (16%) and bony fishes (11%). rWPE is a straightforward and useful method widely applicable to any time series, including short ones. By informing forecasters of the inherent limitations to a system's predictability, it can guide a modeller's expectations for forecast performance.
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ArticleMisaligned wind-waves behind atmospheric cold fronts(American Geophysical Union, 2024-08-24)Atmospheric fronts embedded in extratropical cyclones are high-impact weather phenomena, contributing significantly to mid-latitude winter precipitation. The three vital characteristics of the atmospheric fronts, high wind speeds, abrupt change in wind direction, and rapid translation, force the induced surface waves to be misaligned with winds exclusively behind the cold fronts. The effects of the misaligned waves under atmospheric cold fronts on air-sea fluxes remain undocumented. Using the multi-year in situ near-surface observations and direct covariance flux measurements from the Pioneer Array off the coast of New England, we find that the majority of the passing cold fronts generate misaligned waves behind the cold front. Once generated, the waves remain misaligned, on average, for about 8 hr. The parameterized effect of misaligned waves in a fully coupled model significantly increases the roughness length (185%), drag coefficient (19%), and air-sea momentum flux (11%). The increased surface drag reduces the wind speeds in the surface layer. The upward turbulent heat flux is weakly decreased by the misaligned waves because of the decrease in temperature and humidity scaling parameters being greater than the increase in friction velocity. The misaligned wave effect is not accurately represented in a commonly used wave-based bulk flux algorithm. Yet, considering this effect in the current formulation improves the overall accuracy of parameterized momentum flux estimates. The results imply that better representing a directional wind-wave coupling in the bulk formula of the numerical models may help improve the air-sea interaction simulations under the passing atmospheric fronts in the mid-latitudes.
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ArticleIs the regime shift in Gulf Stream warm core rings detected by satellite altimetry? An inter-comparison of eddy identification and tracking products(American Geophysical Union, 2024-09-30)Downstream of Cape Hatteras, the vigorously meandering Gulf Stream forms anticyclonic warm core rings (WCRs) that carry warm Gulf Stream and Sargasso Sea waters into the cooler, fresher Slope Sea, and forms cyclonic cold core rings (CCRs) that carry Slope Sea waters into the Sargasso Sea. The Northwest Atlantic shelf and open ocean off the U.S. East Coast have experienced dramatic changes in ocean circulation and water properties in recent years, with significant consequences for marine ecosystems and coastal communities. Some of these changes may be related to a reported regime shift in the number of WCRs formed annually, with a doubling of WCRs shed after 2000. Since the regime shift was detected using a regional eddy-tracking product, primarily based on sea surface temperatures and relies on analyst skill, we examine three global eddy-tracking products as an automated and potentially more objective way to detect changes in Gulf Stream rings. Currently, global products rely on altimeter-measured sea surface height (SSH), with WCRs registering as sea surface highs and CCRs as lows. To identify eddies, these products use either SSH contours or a Lagrangian approach, with particles seeded in satellite-based surface geostrophic velocity fields. This study confirms the three global products are not well suited for statistical analysis of Gulf Stream rings and suggests that automated WCR identification and tracking comes at the price of accurate identification and tracking. Furthermore, a shift to a higher energy state is detected in the Northwest Atlantic, which coincides with the regime shift in WCRs.
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ArticleThe generation of superinertial coastally trapped waves by scattering at the coast(American Meteorological Society, 2024-09-18)A series of idealized numerical simulations is used to examine the generation of mode-one superinertial coastally trapped waves (CTWs). In the first set of simulations, CTWs are resonantly generated when freely propagating mode-one internal tides are incident on the coast such that the angle of incidence of the internal wave causes the projected wavenumber of the tide on the coast to satisfy a triad relationship with the wavenumbers of the bathymetry and the CTW. In the second set of simulations, CTWs are generated by the interaction of the barotropic tide with topography that has the same scales as the CTW. Under resonant conditions, superinertial coastally trapped waves are a leading order coastal process, with alongshore current magnitudes that can be larger than the barotropic or internal tides from which they are generated.
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ArticleDeep circulation variability through the eastern subpolar North Atlantic(American Meteorological Society, 2024-11-06)The export of the North Atlantic Deep Water (NADW) from the subpolar North Atlantic is known to affect the variability in the lower limb of the Atlantic meridional overturning circulation (AMOC). However, the respective impact from the transport in the upper NADW (UNADW) and lower NADW (LNADW) layers, and from the various transport branches through the boundary and interior flows, on the subpolar overturning variability remains elusive. To address this, the spatiotemporal characteristics of the circulation of NADW throughout the eastern subpolar basins are examined, mainly based on the 2014–20 observations from the transatlantic Overturning in the Subpolar North Atlantic Program (OSNAP) array. It reveals that the time-mean transport within the overturning’s lower limb across the eastern subpolar gyre [−13.0 ± 0.5 Sv (1 Sv ≡ 106 m3 s−1)] mostly occurs in the LNADW layer (−9.4 Sv or 72% of the mean), while the lower limb variability is mainly concentrated in the UNADW layer (57% of the total variance). This analysis further demonstrates a dominant role in the lower limb variability by coherent intraseasonal changes across the region that result from a basinwide barotropic response to changing wind fields. By comparison, there is just a weak seasonal cycle in the flows along the western boundary of the basins, in response to the surface buoyancy-induced water mass transformation.
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ArticleWind-driven along-coast pressure gradients in the Middle Atlantic Bight(American Geophysical Union, 2024-09-10)Along-shelf wind stresses drive substantial along-coast variations in sea level that result in significant along-coast pressure gradients in the Middle Atlantic Bight (MAB) at time scales from days to years. Forty years of sea-level data and reanalysis wind stresses are examined to determine the characteristics and dynamics of pressure gradients along the New England and Central MAB coasts. Along-coast dynamic sea level (pressure) gradients often exceed 5 cm/100 km at daily time scales, 2 cm/100 km at monthly time scales and 0.2 cm/100 km at yearly time scales. Along-shelf wind stresses account for more than 50% of the along-coast pressure gradient variance at daily and monthly time scales and more than 25% at yearly time scales. Pressure gradients along the New England coast are primarily driven by local wind stresses along the New England shelf, while pressure gradients along the Central MAB shelf are driven by both local wind stresses along the Central MAB shelf and remote wind stresses along the New England shelf. A steady depth-average model (Csanady, 1978, https://doi.org/10.1175/1520-0485(1978)008<0047:tatw>2.0.co;2) accurately reproduces the wind-driven along-coast pressure gradients in both regions. The along-coast pressure gradients typically oppose the local wind stress and, in the along-shelf momentum balance, are 50%–80% of the along-shelf wind stress over the inner shelf (water depth 15 m).