Carroll
Dustin
Carroll
Dustin
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ArticleCharacteristic depths, fluxes and timescales for Greenland’s tidewater glacier fjords from subglacial discharge‐driven upwelling during summer(American Geophysical Union, 2022-03-02) Slater, Donald A. ; Carroll, Dustin ; Oliver, Hilde ; Hopwood, Mark J. ; Straneo, Fiamma ; Wood, Michael ; Willis, Joshua K. ; Morlighem, MathieuGreenland's glacial fjords are a key bottleneck in the earth system, regulating exchange of heat, freshwater and nutrients between the ice sheet and ocean and hosting societally important fisheries. We combine recent bathymetric, atmospheric, and oceanographic data with a buoyant plume model to show that summer subglacial discharge from 136 tidewater glaciers, amounting to 0.02 Sv of freshwater, drives 0.6–1.6 Sv of upwelling. Bathymetric analysis suggests that this is sufficient to renew most major fjords within a single summer, and that these fjords provide a path to the continental shelf that is deeper than 200 m for two-thirds of the glaciers. Our study provides a first pan-Greenland inventory of tidewater glacier fjords and quantifies regional and ice sheet-wide upwelling fluxes. This analysis provides important context for site-specific studies and is a step toward implementing fjord-scale heat, freshwater and nutrient fluxes in large-scale ice sheet and climate models.
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ArticleMagnitude, trends, and variability of the global ocean carbon sink from 1985‐2018(American Geophysical Union, 2023-09-11) DeVries, Tim ; Yamamoto, Kana ; Wanninkhof, Rik ; Gruber, Nicolas ; Hauck, Judith ; Muller, Jens Daniel ; Bopp, Laurent ; Carroll, Dustin ; Carter, Brendan ; Chau, Thi-Tuyet-Trang ; Doney, Scott C. ; Gehlen, Marion ; Gloege, Lucas ; Gregor, Luke ; Henson, Stephanie A. ; Kim, Ji-Hyun ; Iida, Yosuke ; Ilyina, Tatiana ; Landschutzer, Peter ; Le Quere, Corinne ; Munro, David R. ; Nissen, Cara ; Patara, Lavinia ; Perez, Fiz F. ; Resplandy, Laure ; Rodgers, Keith B. ; Schwinger, Jorg ; Seferian, Roland ; Sicardi, Valentina ; Terhaar, Jens ; Trinanes, Joaquin ; Tsujino, Hiroyuki ; Watson, Andrew J. ; Yasunaka, Sayaka ; Zeng, JiyeThis contribution to the RECCAP2 (REgional Carbon Cycle Assessment and Processes) assessment analyzes the processes that determine the global ocean carbon sink, and its trends and variability over the period 1985–2018, using a combination of models and observation-based products. The mean sea-air CO2 flux from 1985 to 2018 is −1.6 ± 0.2 PgC yr−1 based on an ensemble of reconstructions of the history of sea surface pCO2 (pCO2 products). Models indicate that the dominant component of this flux is the net oceanic uptake of anthropogenic CO2, which is estimated at −2.1 ± 0.3 PgC yr−1 by an ensemble of ocean biogeochemical models, and −2.4 ± 0.1 PgC yr−1 by two ocean circulation inverse models. The ocean also degasses about 0.65 ± 0.3 PgC yr−1 of terrestrially derived CO2, but this process is not fully resolved by any of the models used here. From 2001 to 2018, the pCO2 products reconstruct a trend in the ocean carbon sink of −0.61 ± 0.12 PgC yr−1 decade−1, while biogeochemical models and inverse models diagnose an anthropogenic CO2-driven trend of −0.34 ± 0.06 and −0.41 ± 0.03 PgC yr−1 decade−1, respectively. This implies a climate-forced acceleration of the ocean carbon sink in recent decades, but there are still large uncertainties on the magnitude and cause of this trend. The interannual to decadal variability of the global carbon sink is mainly driven by climate variability, with the climate-driven variability exceeding the CO2-forced variability by 2–3 times. These results suggest that anthropogenic CO2 dominates the ocean CO2 sink, while climate-driven variability is potentially large but highly uncertain and not consistently captured across different methods.
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ArticleAn assessment of CO2 uptake in the Arctic Ocean from 1985 to 2018(American Geophysical Union, 2023-11-10) Yasunaka, Sayaka ; Manizza, Manfredi ; Terhaar, Jens ; Olsen, Are ; Yamaguchi, Ryohei ; Landschutzer, Peter ; Watanabe, Eiji ; Carroll, Dustin ; Adiwira, Hanani ; Muller, Jens Daniel ; Hauck, JudithAs a contribution to the Regional Carbon Cycle Assessment and Processes phase 2 (RECCAP2) project, we present synthesized estimates of Arctic Ocean sea-air CO2 fluxes and their uncertainties from surface ocean pCO2-observation products, ocean biogeochemical hindcast and data assimilation models, and atmospheric inversions. For the period of 1985–2018, the Arctic Ocean was a net sink of CO2 of 116 ± 4 TgC yr−1 in the pCO2 products, 92 ± 30 TgC yr−1 in the models, and 91 ± 21 TgC yr−1 in the atmospheric inversions. The CO2 uptake peaks in late summer and early autumn, and is low in winter when sea ice inhibits sea-air fluxes. The long-term mean CO2 uptake in the Arctic Ocean is primarily caused by steady-state fluxes of natural carbon (70% ± 15%), and enhanced by the atmospheric CO2 increase (19% ± 5%) and climate change (11% ± 18%). The annual mean CO2 uptake increased from 1985 to 2018 at a rate of 31 ± 13 TgC yr−1 dec−1 in the pCO2 products, 10 ± 4 TgC yr−1 dec−1 in the models, and 32 ± 16 TgC yr−1 dec−1 in the atmospheric inversions. Moreover, 77% ± 38% of the trend in the net CO2 uptake over time is caused by climate change, primarily due to rapid sea ice loss in recent years. Furthermore, true uncertainties may be larger than the given ensemble standard deviations due to common structural biases across all individual estimates.
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ArticleGreenland Subglacial Discharge as a driver of hotspots of increasing coastal chlorophyll since the early 2000s(American Geophysical Union, 2023-05-18) Oliver, Hilde ; Slater, Donald ; Carroll, Dustin ; Wood, Michael ; Morlighem, Mathieu ; Hopwood, Mark J.Subglacial discharge emerging from the base of Greenland's marine‐terminating glaciers drives upwelling of nutrient‐rich bottom waters to the euphotic zone, which can fuel nitrate‐limited phytoplankton growth. Here, we use buoyant plume theory to quantify this subglacial discharge‐driven nutrient supply on a pan‐Greenland scale. The modeled nitrate fluxes were concentrated in a few critical systems, with half of the total modeled nitrate flux anomaly occurring at just 14% of marine‐terminating glaciers. Increasing subglacial discharge fluxes results in elevated nitrate fluxes, with the largest flux occurring at Jakobshavn Isbræ in Disko Bay, where subglacial discharge is largest. Subglacial discharge and nitrate flux anomaly also account for significant temporal variability in summer satellite chlorophyll a (Chl) within 50 km of Greenland's coast, particularly in some regions in central west and northwest Greenland.Runoff and modeled nitrate upwelling can explain temporal variability in surface cholorophyll in some coastal areas in west Greenland