The history of ocean resources : modeling cod biomass using historical records
Rosenberg, Andrew A.
Bolster, W. Jeffrey
Alexander, Karen E.
Leavenworth, William B.
Cooper, Andrew B.
McKenzie, Matthew G.
MetadataShow full item record
Managing the remnants of the ocean's resources is a critical issue worldwide, but evidence for what constitutes a healthy fish population remains controversial. Here, we use historical sources to understand ecosystem trends and establish a biomass estimate for a key marine species prior to the industrialization of fishing. Declining trajectories have been described for predatory fishes and complex coral reef systems globally, but few numerical estimates of past abundance exist. We combined historical research methods and population modeling to estimate the biomass of cod on Canada's Scotian Shelf in 1852. Mid 19th-century New England fishing logs offer geographically specific daily catch records, describing fleet activity on fishing grounds with negligible incentive to falsify records. Combined with ancillary fishery documents, these logs provide a solid, reliable basis for stock assessment. Based on these data we estimate a biomass for cod of 1.26 × 106 mt in 1852 – compared with less than 5 × 104 mt of total biomass today. In the current policy debate about rebuilding depleted fisheries and restoring marine ecosystems, it is important to recognize that fisheries for key commercial species like cod were far more productive in the past. As we attempt to rebuild these fisheries, our decisions should reflect real and realistic goals for management, not just recently observed catch levels.
Author Posting. © Ecological Society of America, 2005. This article is posted here by permission of Ecological Society of America for personal use, not for redistribution. The definitive version was published in Frontiers in Ecology and the Environment 3 (2005): 78–84, doi:10.1890/1540-9295(2005)003[0078:THOORM]2.0.CO;2.
Showing items related by title, author, creator and subject.
Solow, Andrew R.; Beet, Andrew R.; Roll, Uri; Stone, Lewi (2013-12-09)One predicted impact of climate change is a poleward shift in the boundaries of species ranges. Existing methods for identifying such a boundary shift based on changes in the observed pattern of occupancy within a grid ...
Redfern, J. V.; Ferguson, M. C.; Becker, E. A.; Hyrenbach, K. D.; Good, Caroline P.; Barlow, J.; Kaschner, K.; Baumgartner, Mark F.; Forney, K. A.; Ballance, L. T.; Fauchald, P.; Halpin, Patrick N.; Hamazaki, T.; Pershing, Andrew J.; Qian, Song S.; Read, Andrew J.; Reilly, S. B.; Torres, L.; Werner, Francisco E. (Inter-Research, 2006-04-03)Cetacean–habitat modeling, although still in the early stages of development, represents a potentially powerful tool for predicting cetacean distributions and understanding the ecological processes determining these ...
Solow, Andrew R.; Beet, Andrew R. (American Geophysical Union, 2008-06-03)There is some question as to whether the historical record of observed North Atlantic tropical cyclones prior to the advent of satellite coverage is complete. This question is central to understanding the historical trend ...