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    Coupled ocean–atmosphere modeling and predictions

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    Date
    2017-05-01
    Author
    Miller, Arthur J.  Concept link
    Collins, Matthew  Concept link
    Gualdi, Silvio  Concept link
    Jensen, Tommy G.  Concept link
    Misra, Vasu  Concept link
    Pezzi, Luciano Ponzi  Concept link
    Pierce, David W.  Concept link
    Putrasahan, Dian  Concept link
    Seo, Hyodae  Concept link
    Tseng, Yu-Heng  Concept link
    Metadata
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    Citable URI
    https://hdl.handle.net/1912/9386
    As published
    https://doi.org/10.1357/002224017821836770
    DOI
    10.1357/002224017821836770
    Keyword
     Climate modeling; Climate predictability; Decadal climate variability; El Niño Southern Oscillation; ENSO; Global warming; Monsoons; Ocean-atmospherel and interactions; Regional climate downscaling 
    Abstract
    Key aspects of the current state of the ability of global and regional climate models to represent dynamical processes and precipitation variations are summarized. Interannual, decadal, and global-warming timescales, wherein the influence of the oceans is relevant and the potential for predictability is highest, are emphasized. Oceanic influences on climate occur throughout the ocean and extend over land to affect many types of climate variations, including monsoons, the El Niño Southern Oscillation, decadal oscillations, and the response to greenhouse gas emissions. The fundamental ideas of coupling between the ocean-atmosphere-land system are explained for these modes in both global and regional contexts. Global coupled climate models are needed to represent and understand the complicated processes involved and allow us to make predictions over land and sea. Regional coupled climate models are needed to enhance our interpretation of the fine-scale response. The mechanisms by which large-scale, low-frequency variations can influence shorter timescale variations and drive regionalscale effects are also discussed. In this light of these processes, the prospects for practical climate predictability are also presented.
    Description
    Author Posting. © The Authors, 2017. This article is posted here by permission of Sears Foundation for Marine Research for personal use, not for redistribution. The definitive version was published in Journal of Marine Research 75 (2017): 361-402, doi:10.1357/002224017821836770.
    Collections
    • Physical Oceanography (PO)
    Suggested Citation
    Journal of Marine Research 75 (2017): 361-402
     

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