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dc.contributor.authorLe Quere, Corinne  Concept link
dc.contributor.authorAndrew, Robbie M.  Concept link
dc.contributor.authorCanadell, Josep G.  Concept link
dc.contributor.authorSitch, Stephen  Concept link
dc.contributor.authorKorsbakken, Jan Ivar  Concept link
dc.contributor.authorPeters, Glen P.  Concept link
dc.contributor.authorManning, Andrew C.  Concept link
dc.contributor.authorBoden, Thomas A.  Concept link
dc.contributor.authorTans, Pieter P.  Concept link
dc.contributor.authorHoughton, Richard A.  Concept link
dc.contributor.authorKeeling, Ralph F.  Concept link
dc.contributor.authorAlin, Simone R.  Concept link
dc.contributor.authorAndrews, Oliver D.  Concept link
dc.contributor.authorAnthoni, Peter  Concept link
dc.contributor.authorBarbero, Leticia  Concept link
dc.contributor.authorBopp, Laurent  Concept link
dc.contributor.authorChevallier, Frédéric  Concept link
dc.contributor.authorChini, Louise Parsons  Concept link
dc.contributor.authorCiais, Philippe  Concept link
dc.contributor.authorCurrie, Kim I.  Concept link
dc.contributor.authorDelire, Christine  Concept link
dc.contributor.authorDoney, Scott C.  Concept link
dc.contributor.authorFriedlingstein, Pierre  Concept link
dc.contributor.authorGkritzalis, Thanos  Concept link
dc.contributor.authorHarris, Ian  Concept link
dc.contributor.authorHauck, Judith  Concept link
dc.contributor.authorHaverd, Vanessa  Concept link
dc.contributor.authorHoppema, Mario  Concept link
dc.contributor.authorKlein Goldewijk, Kees  Concept link
dc.contributor.authorJain, Atul K.  Concept link
dc.contributor.authorKato, Etsushi  Concept link
dc.contributor.authorKörtzinger, Arne  Concept link
dc.contributor.authorLandschützer, Peter  Concept link
dc.contributor.authorLefèvre, Nathalie  Concept link
dc.contributor.authorLenton, Andrew  Concept link
dc.contributor.authorLienert, Sebastian  Concept link
dc.contributor.authorLombardozzi, Danica  Concept link
dc.contributor.authorMelton, Joe R.  Concept link
dc.contributor.authorMetzl, Nicolas  Concept link
dc.contributor.authorMillero, Frank J.  Concept link
dc.contributor.authorMonteiro, Pedro M. S.  Concept link
dc.contributor.authorMunro, David R.  Concept link
dc.contributor.authorNabel, Julia E. M. S.  Concept link
dc.contributor.authorNakaoka, Shin-ichiro  Concept link
dc.contributor.authorO'Brien, Kevin  Concept link
dc.contributor.authorOlsen, Are  Concept link
dc.contributor.authorOmar, Abdirahman M.  Concept link
dc.contributor.authorOno, Tsuneo  Concept link
dc.contributor.authorPierrot, Denis  Concept link
dc.contributor.authorPoulter, Benjamin  Concept link
dc.contributor.authorRödenbeck, Christian  Concept link
dc.contributor.authorSalisbury, Joseph E.  Concept link
dc.contributor.authorSchuster, Ute  Concept link
dc.contributor.authorSchwinger, Jorg  Concept link
dc.contributor.authorSéférian, Roland  Concept link
dc.contributor.authorSkjelvan, Ingunn  Concept link
dc.contributor.authorStocker, Benjamin D.  Concept link
dc.contributor.authorSutton, Adrienne J.  Concept link
dc.contributor.authorTakahashi, Taro  Concept link
dc.contributor.authorTian, Hanqin  Concept link
dc.contributor.authorTilbrook, Bronte  Concept link
dc.contributor.authorvan der Laan-Luijkx, Ingrid  Concept link
dc.contributor.authorvan der Werf, Guido R.  Concept link
dc.contributor.authorViovy, Nicolas  Concept link
dc.contributor.authorWalker, Anthony P.  Concept link
dc.contributor.authorWiltshire, Andrew J.  Concept link
dc.contributor.authorZaehle, Sonke  Concept link
dc.date.accessioned2017-03-03T19:26:47Z
dc.date.available2017-03-03T19:26:47Z
dc.date.issued2016-11-14
dc.identifier.citationEarth System Science Data 8 (2016): 605-649en_US
dc.identifier.urihttps://hdl.handle.net/1912/8773
dc.description© The Author(s), 2016. This article is distributed under the terms of the Creative Commons Attribution License. The definitive version was published in Earth System Science Data 8 (2016): 605-649, doi:10.5194/essd-8-605-2016.en_US
dc.description.abstractAccurate assessment of anthropogenic carbon dioxide (CO2) emissions and their redistribution among the atmosphere, ocean, and terrestrial biosphere – the “global carbon budget” – is important to better understand the global carbon cycle, support the development of climate policies, and project future climate change. Here we describe data sets and methodology to quantify all major components of the global carbon budget, including their uncertainties, based on the combination of a range of data, algorithms, statistics, and model estimates and their interpretation by a broad scientific community. We discuss changes compared to previous estimates and consistency within and among components, alongside methodology and data limitations. CO2 emissions from fossil fuels and industry (EFF) are based on energy statistics and cement production data, respectively, while emissions from land-use change (ELUC), mainly deforestation, are based on combined evidence from land-cover change data, fire activity associated with deforestation, and models. The global atmospheric CO2 concentration is measured directly and its rate of growth (GATM) is computed from the annual changes in concentration. The mean ocean CO2 sink (SOCEAN) is based on observations from the 1990s, while the annual anomalies and trends are estimated with ocean models. The variability in SOCEAN is evaluated with data products based on surveys of ocean CO2 measurements. The global residual terrestrial CO2 sink (SLAND) is estimated by the difference of the other terms of the global carbon budget and compared to results of independent dynamic global vegetation models. We compare the mean land and ocean fluxes and their variability to estimates from three atmospheric inverse methods for three broad latitude bands. All uncertainties are reported as ±1σ, reflecting the current capacity to characterise the annual estimates of each component of the global carbon budget. For the last decade available (2006–2015), EFF was 9.3 ± 0.5 GtC yr−1, ELUC 1.0 ± 0.5 GtC yr−1, GATM 4.5 ± 0.1 GtC yr−1, SOCEAN 2.6 ± 0.5 GtC yr−1, and SLAND 3.1 ± 0.9 GtC yr−1. For year 2015 alone, the growth in EFF was approximately zero and emissions remained at 9.9 ± 0.5 GtC yr−1, showing a slowdown in growth of these emissions compared to the average growth of 1.8 % yr−1 that took place during 2006–2015. Also, for 2015, ELUC was 1.3 ± 0.5 GtC yr−1, GATM was 6.3 ± 0.2 GtC yr−1, SOCEAN was 3.0 ± 0.5 GtC yr−1, and SLAND was 1.9 ± 0.9 GtC yr−1. GATM was higher in 2015 compared to the past decade (2006–2015), reflecting a smaller SLAND for that year. The global atmospheric CO2 concentration reached 399.4 ± 0.1 ppm averaged over 2015. For 2016, preliminary data indicate the continuation of low growth in EFF with +0.2 % (range of −1.0 to +1.8 %) based on national emissions projections for China and USA, and projections of gross domestic product corrected for recent changes in the carbon intensity of the economy for the rest of the world. In spite of the low growth of EFF in 2016, the growth rate in atmospheric CO2 concentration is expected to be relatively high because of the persistence of the smaller residual terrestrial sink (SLAND) in response to El Niño conditions of 2015–2016. From this projection of EFF and assumed constant ELUC for 2016, cumulative emissions of CO2 will reach 565 ± 55 GtC (2075 ± 205 GtCO2) for 1870–2016, about 75 % from EFF and 25 % from ELUC. This living data update documents changes in the methods and data sets used in this new carbon budget compared with previous publications of this data set (Le Quéré et al., 2015b, a, 2014, 2013). All observations presented here can be downloaded from the Carbon Dioxide Information Analysis Center (doi:10.3334/CDIAC/GCP_2016).en_US
dc.description.sponsorshipAustralia, Integrated Marine Observing System and Antarctic Climate and Ecosystems CRC BT; European Commission (EC) Copernicus Atmosphere Monitoring Service, European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts (ECMWF) FC; EC H2020 (AtlantOS; grant no. 633211) NL, AO; EC H2020 (CRESCENDO; grant no. 641816) CD, RS, OA, PF; EC H2020 European Research Council (ERC) (QUINCY; grant no. 647204). SZ; EC H2020 ERC Synergy grant (IMBALANCE-P; grant no. ERC-2013-SyG-610028) PC; France, BNP Paribas Foundation grant to support the Global Carbon Atlas PC; French Institut National des Sciences de l’Univers (INSU) and Institut Paul Emile Victor (IPEV) for OISO cruises NM; French Institut de recherche pour le développement (IRD) NL; German Federal Ministry of Education and Research (grant no. 01LK1224I ICOS-D) MH; German Research Foundation’s Emmy Noether Programme (grant no. PO1751/1-1) JN; German Max Planck Society CR, SZ; Germany, Federal Ministry of Education and Research (BMBF) AK; Germany, Helmholtz Postdoc Programme (Initiative and Networking Fund of the Helmholtz Association) JH; Japan Ministry of Agriculture, Forestry and Fisheries (MAFF) OT; Japan Ministry of Environment SN; Japan Ministry of Environment (grant no. ERTDF S-10) EK; NASA LCLUC programme (grant no. NASA NNX14AD94G) AJ; New Zealand National Institute of Water and Atmospheric Research (NIWA) Core Funding KC; Norway Research Council (grant no. 229752) AMO; Norway Research Council (grant no. 569980) GPP, RMA, JIK; Norway Research Council (project EVA; grant no. 229771) JS; Norwegian Environment Agency (grant no. 16078007) IS; Research Fund – Flanders (FWO; formerly Hercules Foundation) TG; South Africa Council for Scientific and Industrial Research (CSIR) PMSM; UK Natural Environment Research Council (RAGANRAoCC; grant no. NE/K002473/1) US; UK Newton Fund through the Met Office Climate Science for Service Partnership Brazil (CSSP Brazil) AJW; US Department of Agriculture, National Institute of Food and Agriculture (grant no. 2015-67003- 23485) DL; US Department of Energy (grant no. DE-FC03-97ER62402/A010) DL; US Department of Energy, Biological and Environmental Research Program, Office of Science (grant no. DE-AC05-00OR22725) APW; US Department of Commerce, NOAA’s Climate Observation Division of the Climate Program Office SRA, AJS; US Department of Energy, Office of Science and BER programme (grant no. DOE DE-SC0016323) AJ; US National Science Foundation (grant no. AGS-1048827) SD; US National Science Foundation (grant no. AOAS-1543457) DRM; US National Science Foundation (grant no. AOAS-1341647) DRM; US NOAA’s Climate Observation Division of the Climate Program Office (grant no. N8R1SE3P00); US NOAA’s Ocean Acidification Program (grant no. N8R3CEAP00) DP, LB; US National Science Foundation (grant no. NSF AGS 12-43071)en_US
dc.language.isoenen_US
dc.publisherCopernicus Publicationsen_US
dc.relation.urihttps://doi.org/10.5194/essd-8-605-2016
dc.rightsAttribution 3.0 Unported
dc.rights.urihttp://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/3.0/
dc.titleGlobal Carbon Budget 2016en_US
dc.typeArticleen_US
dc.identifier.doi10.5194/essd-8-605-2016


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