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    South Pacific hydrologic and cyclone variability during the last 3000 years

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    Date
    2016-04-18
    Author
    Toomey, Michael R.  Concept link
    Donnelly, Jeffrey P.  Concept link
    Tierney, Jessica E.  Concept link
    Metadata
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    Citable URI
    https://hdl.handle.net/1912/8069
    As published
    https://doi.org/10.1002/2015PA002870
    DOI
    10.1002/2015PA002870
    Keyword
     Cyclone; Rainfall; Polynesia; Runoff 
    Abstract
    Major excursions in the position of the South Pacific Convergence Zone (SPCZ) and/or changes in its intensity are thought to drive tropical cyclone (TC) and precipitation variability across much of the central South Pacific. A lack of conventional sites typically used for multimillennial proxy reconstructions has limited efforts to extend observational rainfall/TC data sets and our ability to fully assess the risks posed to central Pacific islands by future changes in fresh water availability or the frequency of storm landfalls. Here we use the sedimentary record of Apu Bay, offshore the island of Tahaa, French Polynesia, to explore the relationship between SPCZ position/intensity and tropical cyclone overwash, resolved at decadal time scales, since 3200 years B.P. Changes in orbital precession and Pacific sea surface temperatures best explain evidence for a coordinated pattern of rainfall variability at Tahaa and across the Pacific over the late Holocene. Our companion record of tropical cyclone activity from Tahaa suggests major storm activity was higher between 2600-1500 years B.P., when decadal scale SPCZ variability may also have been stronger. A transition to lower storm frequency and a shift or expansion of the SPCZ toward French Polynesia around 1000 years B.P. may have prompted Polynesian migration into the central Pacific.
    Description
    Author Posting. © American Geophysical Union, 2016. This article is posted here by permission of American Geophysical Union for personal use, not for redistribution. The definitive version was published in Paleoceanography 31 (2016): 491–504, doi:10.1002/2015PA002870.
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    • Geology and Geophysics (G&G)
    Suggested Citation
    Paleoceanography 31 (2016): 491–504
     

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