On the attribution of a single event to climate change
Solow, Andrew R.
MetadataShow full item record
There is growing interest in assessing the role of climate change in observed extreme weather events. Recent work in this area has focused on estimating a measure called attributable risk. A statistical formulation of this problem is described and used to construct a confidence interval for attributable risk. The resulting confidence is shown to be surprisingly wide even in the case where the event of interest is unprecedented in the historical record.
Author Posting. © American Meteorological Society, 2014. This article is posted here by permission of American Meteorological Society for personal use, not for redistribution. The definitive version was published in Journal of Climate 27 (2014): 8297–8301, doi:10.1175/JCLI-D-14-00399.1.
Suggested CitationJournal of Climate 27 (2014): 8297–8301
Showing items related by title, author, creator and subject.
Ummenhofer, Caroline C.; Xu, Hong; Twine, Tracy E.; Girvetz, Evan H.; McCarthy, Heather R.; Chhetri, Netra; Nicholas, Kimberly A. (American Meteorological Society, 2015-06-15)Downscaled climate model projections from phase 5 of the Coupled Model Intercomparison Project (CMIP5) were used to force a dynamic vegetation agricultural model (Agro-IBIS) and simulate yield responses to historical climate ...
Global economic effects of changes in crops, pasture, and forests due to changing climate, carbon dioxide, and ozone Reilly, John M.; Paltsev, Sergey; Felzer, Benjamin S.; Wang, X.; Kicklighter, David W.; Melillo, Jerry M.; Prinn, Ronald G.; Sarofim, Marcus C.; Sokolov, Andrei P.; Wang, C. (2006-01)Multiple environmental changes will have consequences for global vegetation. To the extent that crop yields and pasture and forest productivity are affected there can be important economic consequences. We examine the ...
An ocean-colour time series for use in climate studies: The experience of the ocean-colour climate change initiative (OC-CCI) Sathyendranath, Shubha; Brewin, Robert J. W.; Brockmann, Carsten; Brotas, Vanda; Calton, Ben; Chuprin, Andrei; Cipollini, Paolo; Couto, André B.; Dingle, James; Doerffer, Roland; Donlon, Craig; Dowell, Mark; Farman, Alex; Grant, Michael; Groom, Steven; Horseman, Andrew; Jackson, Thomas; Krasemann, Hajo; Lavender, Samantha; Martinez-Vicente, Victor; Mazeran, Constant; Melin, Frederic; Moore, Timothy S.; Müller, Dagmar; Regner, Peter; Roy, Shovonlal; Steele, Chris J.; Steinmetz, François; Swinton, John; Taberner, Malcolm; Thompson, Adam; Valente, André; Zühlke, Marco; Brando, Vittorio; Feng, Hui; Feldman, Gene; Franz, Bryan A.; Frouin, Robert; Gould, Richard; Hooker, Stanford B.; Kahru, Mati; Kratzer, Susanne; Mitchell, B. Greg; Muller-Karger, Frank E.; Sosik, Heidi M.; Voss, Kenneth; Werdell, Jeremy; Platt, Trevor (MDPI, 2019-10-03)Ocean colour is recognised as an Essential Climate Variable (ECV) by the Global Climate Observing System (GCOS); and spectrally-resolved water-leaving radiances (or remote-sensing reflectances) in the visible domain, and ...