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    Atlantic climate variability and predictability : a CLIVAR perspective

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    Date
    2006-10-15
    Author
    Hurrell, James W.  Concept link
    Visbeck, Martin  Concept link
    Busalacchi, Antonio J.  Concept link
    Clarke, R. A.  Concept link
    Delworth, T. L.  Concept link
    Dickson, R. R.  Concept link
    Johns, William E.  Concept link
    Koltermann, K. P.  Concept link
    Kushnir, Yochanan  Concept link
    Marshall, David P.  Concept link
    Mauritzen, Cecilie  Concept link
    McCartney, Michael S.  Concept link
    Piola, Alberto R.  Concept link
    Reason, C.  Concept link
    Reverdin, Gilles  Concept link
    Schott, F.  Concept link
    Sutton, R.  Concept link
    Wainer, I.  Concept link
    Wright, Daniel G.  Concept link
    Metadata
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    Citable URI
    https://hdl.handle.net/1912/4180
    As published
    https://doi.org/10.1175/JCLI3902.1
    DOI
    10.1175/JCLI3902.1
    Keyword
     Atlantic Ocean; Climate prediction; Variational studies; Tropical variability; North Atlantic Oscillation 
    Abstract
    Three interrelated climate phenomena are at the center of the Climate Variability and Predictability (CLIVAR) Atlantic research: tropical Atlantic variability (TAV), the North Atlantic Oscillation (NAO), and the Atlantic meridional overturning circulation (MOC). These phenomena produce a myriad of impacts on society and the environment on seasonal, interannual, and longer time scales through variability manifest as coherent fluctuations in ocean and land temperature, rainfall, and extreme events. Improved understanding of this variability is essential for assessing the likely range of future climate fluctuations and the extent to which they may be predictable, as well as understanding the potential impact of human-induced climate change. CLIVAR is addressing these issues through prioritized and integrated plans for short-term and sustained observations, basin-scale reanalysis, and modeling and theoretical investigations of the coupled Atlantic climate system and its links to remote regions. In this paper, a brief review of the state of understanding of Atlantic climate variability and achievements to date is provided. Considerable discussion is given to future challenges related to building and sustaining observing systems, developing synthesis strategies to support understanding and attribution of observed change, understanding sources of predictability, and developing prediction systems in order to meet the scientific objectives of the CLIVAR Atlantic program.
    Description
    Author Posting. © American Meteorological Society 2006. This article is posted here by permission of American Meteorological Society for personal use, not for redistribution. The definitive version was published in Journal of Climate 19 (2006): 5100–5121, doi:10.1175/JCLI3902.1.
    Collections
    • Physical Oceanography (PO)
    Suggested Citation
    Journal of Climate 19 (2006): 5100-5121
     

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