Global economic effects of changes in crops, pasture, and forests due to changing climate, carbon dioxide, and ozone
Reilly, John M.
Felzer, Benjamin S.
Kicklighter, David W.
Melillo, Jerry M.
Prinn, Ronald G.
Sarofim, Marcus C.
Sokolov, Andrei P.
MetadataShow full item record
Multiple environmental changes will have consequences for global vegetation. To the extent that crop yields and pasture and forest productivity are affected there can be important economic consequences. We examine the combined effects of changes in climate, increases in carbon dioxide, and changes in tropospheric ozone on crop, pasture, and forest lands and the consequences for the global and regional economies. We examine scenarios where there is limited or little effort to control these substances, and policy scenarios that limit emissions of CO2 and ozone precursors. We find the effects of climate and CO2 to be generally positive, and the effects of ozone to be very detrimental. Unless ozone is strongly controlled damage could offset CO2 and climate benefits. We find that resource allocation among sectors in the economy, and trade among countries, can strongly affect the estimate of economic effect in a country.
Author Posting. © The Author(s), 2007. This is the author's version of the work. It is posted here by permission of Elsevier B.V. for personal use, not for redistribution. The definitive version was published in Energy Policy 35 (2007): 5370-5383, doi:10.1016/j.enpol.2006.01.040.
Suggested CitationPreprint: Reilly, John M., Paltsev, Sergey, Felzer, Benjamin S., Wang, X., Kicklighter, David W., Melillo, Jerry M., Prinn, Ronald G., Sarofim, Marcus C., Sokolov, Andrei P., Wang, C., "Global economic effects of changes in crops, pasture, and forests due to changing climate, carbon dioxide, and ozone", 2006-01, https://doi.org/10.1016/j.enpol.2006.01.040, https://hdl.handle.net/1912/1929
Showing items related by title, author, creator and subject.
Ummenhofer, Caroline C.; Xu, Hong; Twine, Tracy E.; Girvetz, Evan H.; McCarthy, Heather R.; Chhetri, Netra; Nicholas, Kimberly A. (American Meteorological Society, 2015-06-15)Downscaled climate model projections from phase 5 of the Coupled Model Intercomparison Project (CMIP5) were used to force a dynamic vegetation agricultural model (Agro-IBIS) and simulate yield responses to historical climate ...
Antarctic penguin response to habitat change as Earth's troposphere reaches 2°C above preindustrial levels Ainley, David G.; Russell, Joellen; Jenouvrier, Stephanie; Woehler, Eric; Lyver, Philip O'B.; Fraser, William R.; Kooyman, Gerald L. (Ecological Society of America, 2010-02)We assess the response of pack ice penguins, Emperor (Aptenodytes forsteri) and Adélie (Pygoscelis adeliae), to habitat variability and, then, by modeling habitat alterations, the qualitative changes to their populations, ...
Levang, Samuel J.; Schmitt, Raymond W. (American Meteorological Society, 2015-08-15)The global water cycle is predicted to intensify under various greenhouse gas emissions scenarios. Here the nature and strength of the expected changes for the ocean in the coming century are assessed by examining the ...