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    Global economic effects of changes in crops, pasture, and forests due to changing climate, carbon dioxide, and ozone

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    AG_Energy_Policy_06_01.pdf (402.3Kb)
    Date
    2006-01
    Author
    Reilly, John M.  Concept link
    Paltsev, Sergey  Concept link
    Felzer, Benjamin S.  Concept link
    Wang, X.  Concept link
    Kicklighter, David W.  Concept link
    Melillo, Jerry M.  Concept link
    Prinn, Ronald G.  Concept link
    Sarofim, Marcus C.  Concept link
    Sokolov, Andrei P.  Concept link
    Wang, C.  Concept link
    Metadata
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    Citable URI
    https://hdl.handle.net/1912/1929
    As published
    https://doi.org/10.1016/j.enpol.2006.01.040
    Keyword
     Climate change; Ozone damage; Vegetation; Agriculture; Economics 
    Abstract
    Multiple environmental changes will have consequences for global vegetation. To the extent that crop yields and pasture and forest productivity are affected there can be important economic consequences. We examine the combined effects of changes in climate, increases in carbon dioxide, and changes in tropospheric ozone on crop, pasture, and forest lands and the consequences for the global and regional economies. We examine scenarios where there is limited or little effort to control these substances, and policy scenarios that limit emissions of CO2 and ozone precursors. We find the effects of climate and CO2 to be generally positive, and the effects of ozone to be very detrimental. Unless ozone is strongly controlled damage could offset CO2 and climate benefits. We find that resource allocation among sectors in the economy, and trade among countries, can strongly affect the estimate of economic effect in a country.
    Description
    Author Posting. © The Author(s), 2007. This is the author's version of the work. It is posted here by permission of Elsevier B.V. for personal use, not for redistribution. The definitive version was published in Energy Policy 35 (2007): 5370-5383, doi:10.1016/j.enpol.2006.01.040.
    Collections
    • Ecosystems Center
    Suggested Citation
    Preprint: Reilly, John M., Paltsev, Sergey, Felzer, Benjamin S., Wang, X., Kicklighter, David W., Melillo, Jerry M., Prinn, Ronald G., Sarofim, Marcus C., Sokolov, Andrei P., Wang, C., "Global economic effects of changes in crops, pasture, and forests due to changing climate, carbon dioxide, and ozone", 2006-01, https://doi.org/10.1016/j.enpol.2006.01.040, https://hdl.handle.net/1912/1929
     

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