Toward a consistent modeling framework to assess multi-sectoral climate impacts

dc.contributor.author Monier, Erwan
dc.contributor.author Paltsev, Sergey
dc.contributor.author Sokolov, Andrei P.
dc.contributor.author Chen, Y.-H. Henry
dc.contributor.author Gao, Xiang
dc.contributor.author Ejaz, Qudsia
dc.contributor.author Couzo, Evan
dc.contributor.author Schlosser, C. Adam
dc.contributor.author Dutkiewicz, Stephanie
dc.contributor.author Fant, Charles
dc.contributor.author Scott, Jeffery
dc.contributor.author Kicklighter, David W.
dc.contributor.author Morris, Jennifer
dc.contributor.author Jacoby, Henry D.
dc.contributor.author Prinn, Ronald G.
dc.contributor.author Haigh, Martin
dc.date.accessioned 2018-02-15T19:12:26Z
dc.date.available 2018-02-15T19:12:26Z
dc.date.issued 2018-02-13
dc.description © The Author(s), 2018. This article is distributed under the terms of the Creative Commons Attribution License. The definitive version was published in Nature Communications 9 (2018): 660, doi:10.1038/s41467-018-02984-9. en_US
dc.description.abstract Efforts to estimate the physical and economic impacts of future climate change face substantial challenges. To enrich the currently popular approaches to impact analysis—which involve evaluation of a damage function or multi-model comparisons based on a limited number of standardized scenarios—we propose integrating a geospatially resolved physical representation of impacts into a coupled human-Earth system modeling framework. Large internationally coordinated exercises cannot easily respond to new policy targets and the implementation of standard scenarios across models, institutions and research communities can yield inconsistent estimates. Here, we argue for a shift toward the use of a self-consistent integrated modeling framework to assess climate impacts, and discuss ways the integrated assessment modeling community can move in this direction. We then demonstrate the capabilities of such a modeling framework by conducting a multi-sectoral assessment of climate impacts under a range of consistent and integrated economic and climate scenarios that are responsive to new policies and business expectations. en_US
dc.identifier.citation Nature Communications 9 (2018): 660 en_US
dc.identifier.doi 10.1038/s41467-018-02984-9
dc.identifier.uri https://hdl.handle.net/1912/9580
dc.language.iso en_US en_US
dc.publisher Nature Publishing Group en_US
dc.relation.uri https://doi.org/10.1038/s41467-018-02984-9
dc.rights Attribution 4.0 International *
dc.rights.uri http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/ *
dc.title Toward a consistent modeling framework to assess multi-sectoral climate impacts en_US
dc.type Article en_US
dspace.entity.type Publication
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