Auxiliary Material Submission for Paper 2005GB002530 Inverse Estimates of Anthropogenic Carbon Uptake, Transport, and Storage by the OceanS. \authors{S. E. Mikaloff Fletcher, \altaffilmark{1} N. Gruber, \altaffilmark{1} A. R. Jacobson, \altaffilmark{2} S. C. Doney, \altaffilmark{3} S. Dutkiewicz, \altaffilmark{4} M. Gerber, \altaffilmark{5} M. Follows, \altaffilmark{4} F. Joos, \altaffilmark{5} K. Lindsay, \altaffilmark{6} D. Menemenlis, \altaffilmark{7} A. Mouchet \altaffilmark{8} S. A. M\"uller \altaffilmark{5} and J. L. Sarmiento \altaffilmark{2}} \altaffiltext{1}{Department of Atmospheric and Oceanic Sciences and the Institute for Geophysics and Planetary Physics, University of California, Los Angeles, California, USA.} \altaffiltext{2}{Program in Atmospheric and Oceanic Sciences Department, Princeton, New Jersey, USA.} \altaffiltext{3}{Marine Chemistry and Geochemistry, Woods Hole Oceanographic Institution, Woods Hole, Massachusetts, USA.} \altaffiltext{4}{Department of Earth, Atmosphere, and Planetary Sciences, Massachusetts Institute of Technology, Cambridge, Massachusetts, USA.} \altaffiltext{5}{Climate and Environmental Physics, Physics Institute, University of Bern, Bern, Switzerland.} \altaffiltext{6}{Climate and Global Dynamics Division, National Center for Atmospheric Research, Boulder, Colorado, USA.} \altaffiltext{7}{Estimating the Circulation and Climate of the Ocean, Jet Propulsion Laboratory, Pasadena, California, USA.} \altaffiltext{8}{Astrophysics and Geophysics Institute, University of Liege, Liege, Belgium.} Mikaloff Fletcher, S. E., et al. (2006), Inverse estimates of anthropogenic CO2 uptake, transport, and storage by the ocean, Global Biogeochem. Cycles, 20, GB2002, doi:10.1029/2005GB002530. Introduction This folder contains the following materials: Supplemental Text---------------------------- 2005GB002530-text01.tex-- This latex file contains additional information about the methods. This includes:1. Further details about the model simulations used to generate the basis functions, discussed in Section 2.2 of the manuscript 2. Additional discussion of the region aggregation and the covariance matrix 3. The specific formulation of the CFC-11 skill score and the model weighting scheme 4. A complete description of how the scenarios for possible biases in the data-based anthropogenic carbon estimates were constructed. 2005GB002530-text02.tex-- This file contains brief descriptions of each of the OGCMs used in this study. 2005GB002530-text03.tex-- This file contains discussion of the differences between the UL model an the other participating models in the North Atlantic. Supporting files needed to compile the latex files: agu2001.cls agu2001.sty agu.bst Figures---------------------------- 2005gb002530-fs01.eps-- The locations of the observations used in this study. The colors indicate the different time periods of the observations: prior to 1985 (purple), 1985 to 1990 (blue) 1990 to 1995 (green), since 1995 (red). 2005gb002530-fs02a.eps-- Column inventory of the time-dependent basis function (mol dye/m3) for regions 1-12 of the 24 model regions shown in Figure 2 of the manuscript in 1995, calculated using the PRINCE-2 OGCM. 2005gb002530-fs02b.eps-- Column inventory of the time-dependent basis function (mol dye/m3) for regions 13-24 of the 24 model regions shown in Figure 2 of the manuscript in 1995, calculated using the PRINCE-2 OGCM. 2005gb002530-fs03.eps -- Comparison between the atmospheric CO2 perturbation and the global, annual mean air-sea CO2 flux using four different OGCMs: MIT, NCAR, PRINCE, and UL. The top panel shows the temporal evolution of the atmospheric CO2 perturbation (left axis, solid line) and the modeled annual mean air-sea CO2 flux normalized to the modeled annual mean flux in 1990 (right axis, dashed lines).The bottom panel shows the correlation between the atmospheric perturbation and the normalized modeled annual mean air-sea CO2 flux (dashed lines). The solid line represents the idealized case where the atmospheric perturbation is exactly proportional to the surface flux. 2005gb002530-fs04.eps -- Covariance between regional flux estimates for the 24 region aggregation (10^5 Pg C yr-1), scaled to 1995). 2005gb002530-fs05.eps-- The weighted mean inverse estimates of anthropogenic carbon (Pg C/yr) from this study (white bars) compared with the inverse anthropogenic carbon estimates of Gloor et al., [2003] (gray bars). The flux estimates from this study were interpolated to the 13 model regions used in Gloor et. al., 2003 based on the spatial pattern of the surface fluxes used for the basis functions and scaled to 1990 in order to be directly comparable to the Gloor study. The thick, gray error bars show the weighted standard deviation of the models, and the thin, black error bars represent the total range of the models. 2005gb002530-fs06.eps-- Column inventory of the time-dependent basis function (mol dye/m2) for region 9 in 1995, calculated using the nine OGCMs. A map of region 9 is shown bottom, center. 2005gb002530-fs07.eps-- Zonal mean of the time-dependent basis function (mol dye/m3) for region 9 in 1995, calculated using the nine OGCMs. A map of region 9 is shown bottom, center. 2005gb002530-fs08.eps-- Comparison between the atmospheric CO2 perturbation and the anthropogenic carbon storage from a forward simulation of the PRINCE-2 model integrated over several regions in the Atlantic Ocean. The correlations between the atmospheric perturbation and the modeled anthropogenic carbon storage for regions 1-8, normalized to the storage at the end of the simulation, are shown as dashed lines. The solid line represents the idealized case where the atmospheric perturbation is exactly proportional to the anthropogenic carbon storage. 2005gb002530-fs09.eps-- Zonally, vertically integrated anthropogenic carbon transport by the global, (top), Atlantic (center), and Indo-Pacific (bottom) Oceans from 1765-1995. Positive (negative) values indicate northward (southward) transport. 2005gb002530-fs10.eps-- The zonally averaged hypothetical bias added to the data-based anthropogenic carbon estimates to construct the 'Matsumoto corrected' scenario. The color scale indicates the total change to the anthropogenic carbon estimates (micro mol kg-1), and the contours indicate the change relative to the GLODAP anthropogenic carbon inventory. 2005gb002530-fs11.eps-- Zonally, vertically integrated difference between the forward and inverse anthropogenic carbon storage estimates over the global, (top), Atlantic (center),and Indo-Pacific (bottom) Oceans from 1765-1995. Forward simulations are from OCMIP-2 (Watson and Orr, 2003). Positive (negative) values indicate that the forward simulation finds more (less) anthropogenic carbon storage than the inversion. Tables---------------------------- 2005gb002530-Tablel.text-- Summarizes differences between the five different configurations of the PRINCE model. 2005gb002530-Table2.text-- Inverse anthropogenic carbon flux estimates based on basis functions from ten different OCGMS and their weighted mean, weighted standard deviation, and range (Pg C yr-1, scaled to 1995). Positive values indicate flux into the ocean. 2005gb002530-Table3.text-- Optimal coefficients and standard deviations of a multiple linear regression fit of anthropogenic carbon concentrations estimated using lower and upper limits of the C:O ratio to observed AOU and anthropogenic carbon as discussed in Section 4 of the Extended Methods in the online supplement. 2005gb002530-Table4.text.text-- Inverse anthropogenic carbon flux estimates from the PRINCE-2 model based on the GLODAP anthropogenic carbon data set and three scenarios designed to test the sensitivity of the inverse estimates to biases associated with estimating the anthropogenic carbon from the observations (Pg C yr-1, scaled to 1995). Positive values indicate flux into the ocean. 2005gb002530-Table5.text--The difference between the anthropogenic carbon uptake in the forward model simulations in 1995 and the inverse flux estimates using the same models scaled to 1995 (Pg C yr-1). Positive (negative) values indicate that the forward model simulations find more (less) anthropogenic carbon uptake than the inverse model. Forward simulations for the model version used here are not available for the Bern-3D, ECCO, and MIT models.